On December 1, 2017, Tata Motors share was at ₹399.
On April 3, 2020, Tata Motors share was at ₹65.
Today, Tata Motors share is at ₹495.
Those who have bought this stock in 2017 will have a significantly different view on this share than those who have bought it in 2020.
And between 2017 and now, fundamentally nothing much has changed in Tata Motors to warrant this kind of volatility.
So, despite all the research and analysis, predicting stock movement can't be perfected because ultimately the price will depend on views, opinions and calls. Research and analysis will always have a time lag.
And yes Tata Motors is not any ordinary company, if this is the treatment to stock price of such a reputed company think what research analysis will you do for any other company
"It is easier to Buy & Sell than fry an Egg". This is the Chapter No. 9 of the book " Fooled by Randomness " The hidden role of chance in life and in the markets by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Please take some time to read this book.
One may think that the stock market seems very simple but when you include randomness to the equation, everything changes.
Bottom Line: Stock Market seems very simple, but not easy.
You could be a world class Neuro Surgeon if you spent 5 years studying Neuro Surgery. But even after 5 years studying Stock Market there's no guarantee that one will be anywhere close to be a world class trader.
Remember, Too many variables involved here (psychology, money /risk management, capital, stock in question, it's history, background, future, market sentiment, war somewhere else, famine somewhere else, etc etc)
It's indeed a very demanding profession. One needs to put the heart & soul (read passion) behind it to achieve something while most wannabes think it's a get rich quick scheme.
Sounds simple right? Buy at low and sell at high.
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