One can arrive at the decision to buy or sell Bharti Airtel by going through the following update on the stock.
- The industry scenario has improved over the past few quarters with the ongoing CBIenquiry into the 2G scam. The recent price hike by incumbents signifies reducing competitive intensity and returning pricing power. Airtel is expected to post an improvement in ARPMs in the coming quarters on the back of the recent price hike and traction in 3G services. With the withdrawal of unsustainable customer acquisition offers from the market and reducing dual SIM phenomena, margins in the domestic market are expected to improve, going ahead
- Africa operations have shown continual improvement in key metrics. EBITDA margins have expanded by 276 bps in the past three quarters. With outsourcing agreement in place, the benefit in terms of further margin expansion is expected to kick in from FY13 onwards
- DoT expects NTP 2011 to come into effect by December 31, 2011. Most of the negatives related to one-time spectrum fees seem to be already priced in. Spectrum trading, pooling and sharing would help larger players like Bharti Airtel. At the CMP of | 385, the stock is trading at 16.1x FY13EPS against its long-term average of 19.3x. Also, with most of the capex already incurred, return ratios would also improve, going ahead.
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