Nifty Accurate Tip for 04 Aug 2025

NIFTY Spot View: 04/08/2025
CMP: 24565.35
Moving AVG (EMA) 20 Hour & 40 Hour: 24737 & 24799
Moving AVG (EMA) 20 Day & 40 Day: 24980 & 24973
Support & Downside Range: 24500—24440 zone, 24300—24185--23900
Resistance & Upside Range: 24785—24960--25050
Short Term Trend Reversal Level: --

Trading View Summary:
•  For today's intraday trading session key level to watch is 24500—24440 as support zone and upside 24785—24960 as resistance.
•  After opening if given support manage to hold then we may see some pulback bounce towards 24785 spot levels. Whereas after opening if 24500—24400 breaks then selling pressure remains there and we may fall towards 24300 and lower levels.
•  Now first sign of stability comes only on close above 24960 spot levels.

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Banknifty Trading Tip for 04 Aug 2025

BANKNIFTY Spot View: 04/08/2025
CMP: 55617.20
Moving AVG (EMA) 20 Hour & 40 Hour: 55975 & 56165
Moving AVG (EMA) 20 Day & 40 Day: 56482 & 56306
Support & Downside Range: 55480---55250—55000--54460
Resistance & Upside Range: 55950—56150--56450
Short Term Trend Reversal Level: --
Trading View Summary:
•  For today's intraday trading session key level to watch is 55480—55250 support zone and 55950 resistance.
•  After opening if 55480—55250 manage to hold then we may see some pullback bounce towards 55950 spot levels. Whereas after opening if 55250—55000 breaks then selling pressure remains there and we may see more lower levels towards 55000 and below levels.

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HUL : Time to Buy Now

Hindustan Unilever Limited is showing a medium-to-long-term upward trend, reflecting growing investor confidence and the potential for continued gains. The moving average has issued a bullish signal, suggesting further upward movement, although this lagging indicator may have already missed part of the rally. The stock has a support level at ₹2,420 and faces resistance around ₹2,770. A positive volume balance supports short-term strength. The RSI is above 70, indicating strong short-term momentum, with consistent buying pressure pointing to continued optimism. However, for large-cap stocks, an elevated RSI may also suggest overbought conditions and a possible short-term pullback. Overall, the stock remains technically strong over the medium to long term.

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How much US Penalty Risk on Russian Oil Could Add to India’s Oil Import Bill? 🔎 Key Findings •India currently sources 35–40% of its crude oil from Russia, a stark rise from less than 0.2% before the 2022 Ukraine war. This discount-heavy supply has helped India contain costs, keep retail fuel affordable, and support strong refining margins

SBI Research: Trump's Tariffs Likely to Hurt the U.S. More Than India

Key takeaway: SBI Research, in a report released on August 1, 2025, concluded that the 25% U.S. tariffs on Indian goods will have a wider economic impact on the U.S. than on India—deeming the tariffs a "bad business decision".

📉 Impact on U.S. Economy

•Inflation surge: SBI forecasts that import tariffs could raise U.S. consumer prices by approximately 2.4% in the short term, easing to 1.2% over time  

•Household burden: The average American household could see an additional USD 2,400 in annual expenses. Low-income earners face an increase of around USD 1,300, while high-income households might absorb up to USD 5,000—though with less strain on overall stability  

•Growth drag: U.S. GDP is expected to take a hit of approximately 40–50 basis points due to inflation, weaker demand, and currency downside

US US Penalty Risk on Russian Oil Could Add $9–11 Billion to India's Oil Import Bill

🔎 Key Findings
•India currently sources 35–40% of its crude oil from Russia, a stark rise from less than 0.2% before the 2022 Ukraine war. This discount-heavy supply has helped India contain costs, keep retail fuel affordable, and support strong refining margins

🔎 Key Findings

•India currently sources 35–40% of its crude oil from Russia, a stark rise from less than 0.2% before the 2022 Ukraine war. This discount-heavy supply has helped India contain costs, keep retail fuel affordable, and support strong refining margins

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Power of Long Term Investment

Power of Long Term Investment

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Motilal Oswal on interim review of the 1QFY26 earnings season!

Motilal Oswal on interim review of the 1QFY26 earnings season!

Data based on 1QFY26 results

38 Nifty companies that have declared results so far

👍 Earnings +7.5% YoY vs. est. of +5.7% YoY

Nifty EPS cut for FY26E/FY27E

👉 Nifty EPS for FY26E has been cut by 1.1% & currently stands at Rs.1110

👉 FY27E EPS has also been cut by 0.8% to Rs.1,297 vs Rs.1,308 due to cuts in earnings of Reliance Industries, Axis Bank, Power Grid Corp, HDFC Bank, and Kotak Mahindra Bank

Nifty EPS Outlook

👉 Nifty50 EPS growth is projected to rise to ~10% in FY26 vs. an anemic 1% in FY25

👉 Nifty trades at 22.1x FY26E earnings vs its Long-period average of 20.7x

On Midcaps

👉 Turned more constructive towards mid-caps with 22% weight vs. 16% earlier

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